Promo code › Free case odds
CSGOEmpire free case odds: what's really in the Gift Case?
Short answer: the free Gift Case you get with a referral code has two items. A 0.01% chance at a ★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) and a 99.99% chance at an SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Well-Worn) worth 0.01 coins.
What are the chances, really?
0.01% means 1 in 10,000. To put that in perspective:
- If 10,000 new players open the case, on average one of them gets the knife.
- You're far more likely to get the SG 553, which is worth 0.01 coins.
- Each opening is independent and provably fair, so nobody is "due" a knife.
Expected value of the free case
If you average out every possible result, the case is worth about:
0.0001 × 2,050 + 0.9999 × 0.01 ≈ 0.215 coins
So on average it's worth a few cents. But since it's free and needs no deposit, there's nothing to lose by opening it. Think of it as a free lottery ticket.
How to get the free case
- Sign up through my referral link. It applies the code automatically.
- Or, after signing up, click Free Case 🎁 in the top bar and enter CRAZYMONGO.
- Open the Gift Case. No deposit needed.
Code not accepted? See what to do if the promo code isn't working.
Try your 1-in-10,000 shot for free with code CRAZYMONGO.
Claim free caseFAQ
What's in the CSGOEmpire free case?
A ★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (FN) at 0.01% and an SG 553 | Waves Perforated (WW) at 99.99%.
Do I need to deposit to open it?
No. The free case from a referral code can be opened without depositing.
Has anyone actually won the knife?
With enough openings, statistically yes: roughly one in every 10,000. But for any single player it's very unlikely.
Is the free case rigged?
CSGOEmpire openings are provably fair, meaning the result can be verified after the fact. See how provably fair works. The odds shown are the real odds, and they're just very low for the knife.